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Descriptive Statistics
Measures of central tendency: Mean (x̄) = Σx/n. Median: middle value; robust to outliers. Mode: most frequent value. Measures of variability: Range = max − min. Variance (s²) = Σ(xᵢ−x̄)²/(n−1). Standard deviation (s) = √variance. IQR = Q3 − Q1 (interquartile range); robust to outliers. Shape: skewness (asymmetry) and kurtosis (tail heaviness).
Probability Distributions
Normal distribution: symmetric bell curve; N(μ, σ²); 68-95-99.7 rule (68% of data within ±1σ, 95% within ±2σ, 99.7% within ±3σ). t-distribution: like normal but heavier tails; used when σ is unknown; approaches normal as df → ∞. Chi-square: sum of squared standardized normal variables; used for categorical data tests. F-distribution: ratio of two chi-squares; used in ANOVA.
Hypothesis Testing
H₀ (null hypothesis) vs. H₁ (alternative). Test statistic: standardized measure of effect size relative to sampling error. p-value: probability of data this extreme under H₀. Reject H₀ if p < α (usually 0.05). Type I error (α): false positive (reject true H₀). Type II error (β): false negative (fail to reject false H₀). Power = 1 − β: probability of detecting a true effect.
Regression
Linear regression: y = a + bx + ε. Estimates relationship between variables. R² = proportion of variance explained. Multiple regression: multiple predictors. Logistic regression: binary outcome.
Glossary
Frequently Asked Questions
Descriptive statistics: summarize and describe the data you have collected — they don't generalize beyond the sample. Examples: mean height of 50 students = 5'9"; SD = 3 inches; histogram of grade distribution. Inferential statistics: use sample data to make inferences about a larger population, accounting for sampling uncertainty. Examples: hypothesis test (does drug A reduce blood pressure more than drug B?); confidence interval (the true mean is between 5.2 and 6.8 with 95% confidence); regression (how does income predict spending?). Descriptive statistics are always the first step — before any inference, summarize and visualize your data.
For a normally distributed variable with mean μ and standard deviation σ: 68% of data falls within μ ± 1σ. 95% falls within μ ± 2σ (more precisely, 1.96σ for 95%). 99.7% falls within μ ± 3σ. Applications: if IQ is N(100, 15): 68% of people have IQ between 85 and 115. 95% between 70 and 130. 99.7% between 55 and 145. This rule is the basis for quality control (Six Sigma: ±6σ from mean = 3.4 defects per million opportunities). For hypothesis testing, a Z-score > 1.96 corresponds to p < 0.05 (two-tailed) — outside the 95% range.
Type I error (α): Rejecting H₀ when it is actually true — a false positive. Probability = α (the significance level, typically 0.05). Controlled by setting α before the test. Example: concluding a drug works when it actually doesn't. Type II error (β): Failing to reject H₀ when it is actually false — a false negative. Probability = β. Statistical power = 1 − β = probability of correctly detecting a true effect. β depends on: sample size (larger n → smaller β); effect size (larger effect → easier to detect); α (higher α → lower β, but more false positives). Example: failing to detect that a drug works because the study was underpowered. Ideal: minimize both, but reducing α increases β for fixed n — use power analysis to determine adequate sample size.
A 95% confidence interval (CI) is a range computed from sample data such that, if the sampling procedure were repeated many times, 95% of the resulting CIs would contain the true population parameter. Common misinterpretation: 'there is a 95% probability the true mean lies in this specific interval' — WRONG; the true mean is fixed; it's either in the interval or not. Correct interpretation: 'this method produces intervals that capture the true parameter 95% of the time.' Practical use: overlapping 95% CIs do NOT mean p > 0.05 (they can overlap by up to ~50% of their half-width and still be significant). Non-overlapping CIs → definitely significant. CIs are more informative than p-values because they convey effect size and precision.